Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 281.539352 318.315823 359.221601 408.299334 465.851011 531.526150 612.607274
2025-06-08 222.355220 269.252338 326.057269 400.720822 497.453634 620.192173 790.391216
2025-06-15 192.897697 244.071972 309.585445 401.104474 528.086549 701.804457 964.213916
2025-06-22 168.712028 220.726855 290.210118 392.022913 541.257581 758.419701 1111.012588
2025-06-29 152.671880 205.543849 278.814955 390.774580 563.131404 828.466270 1289.363200
2025-07-06 135.448186 186.484875 259.288230 374.318446 558.582125 855.730259 1402.127771
2025-07-13 129.475495 182.682768 261.038614 389.548998 604.874495 971.176851 1691.398574
2025-07-20 124.702439 179.993742 263.877190 406.398232 655.740466 1102.672311 2042.400670
2025-07-27 117.357289 172.589390 258.471265 408.765723 681.524641 1192.982181 2333.945179
2025-08-03 108.458847 161.937160 246.774687 398.892171 683.499104 1237.849236 2539.012683
2025-08-10 101.093966 153.108848 237.202960 391.521450 688.845714 1289.847922 2773.591990
2025-08-17 97.919854 150.800846 238.223396 403.126029 732.240497 1428.235928 3257.741210
2025-08-24 92.522707 144.529539 232.161688 401.430504 749.806044 1516.570787 3649.633463
2025-08-31 86.618897 136.985791 223.274905 393.457802 753.387200 1574.509503 3980.320146
2025-09-07 82.555345 132.281530 218.995004 393.888250 774.881101 1679.010819 4486.445164
2025-09-14 77.554382 125.580014 210.529218 385.000558 774.372293 1729.022672 4842.048375
2025-09-21 74.021925 121.236819 206.060125 383.780100 791.168596 1827.194691 5399.758917
2025-09-28 68.883718 113.682121 195.003552 367.682378 770.754000 1821.752009 5589.467092
2025-10-05 67.943319 113.696888 198.345719 382.581283 827.372029 2043.042150 6738.427418
2025-10-12 67.188054 113.986494 202.218369 399.060248 890.800371 2301.533139 8197.244142
2025-10-19 64.910375 111.259999 199.894830 401.375436 918.036948 2457.109788 9305.500117
2025-10-26 61.552213 106.276913 192.673440 391.719566 911.861525 2504.438414 9929.164855
2025-11-02 58.671360 102.056534 186.732378 384.510570 911.476492 2571.645025 10702.234407